Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.607511 4.021645 4.471411 4.997361 5.597032 6.261195 7.054857
2025-03-30 3.005794 3.559251 4.204297 5.016250 6.017466 7.219958 8.786002
2025-04-06 2.598113 3.214579 3.971292 4.977782 6.295308 7.980694 10.331178
2025-04-13 2.214854 2.832696 3.621577 4.716397 6.218133 8.237848 11.215006
2025-04-20 2.019175 2.659672 3.506823 4.728618 6.477875 8.942520 12.770355
2025-04-27 1.890569 2.557191 3.467463 4.827292 6.852829 9.833762 14.698954
2025-05-04 1.781651 2.467890 3.432282 4.919838 7.217843 10.739585 16.762865
2025-05-11 1.677105 2.373125 3.376901 4.970880 7.516893 11.567909 18.807488
2025-05-18 1.582398 2.283153 3.318035 5.006198 7.787966 12.373387 20.918567
2025-05-25 1.454975 2.133353 3.155103 4.859689 7.743121 12.640948 22.102476
2025-06-01 1.362853 2.030054 3.054614 4.802305 7.836926 13.149429 23.793648
2025-06-08 1.285029 1.942996 2.972167 4.765502 7.958848 13.715596 25.671031
2025-06-15 1.256364 1.933510 3.016050 4.950868 8.502033 15.135387 29.530123
2025-06-22 1.191246 1.860336 2.949587 4.938209 8.682516 15.891350 32.137927
2025-06-29 1.126501 1.783128 2.870178 4.894390 8.797899 16.530724 34.598104
2025-07-06 1.030928 1.648084 2.682479 4.636981 8.473617 16.237947 34.879548
2025-07-13 0.987963 1.599799 2.641856 4.648744 8.681167 17.075195 37.973569
2025-07-20 0.961572 1.578205 2.646334 4.745427 9.069343 18.347264 42.375247
2025-07-27 0.935960 1.556151 2.648033 4.836130 9.453786 19.661050 47.149787
2025-08-03 0.906235 1.524785 2.630254 4.886156 9.755865 20.826204 51.770300
2025-08-10 0.876402 1.491327 2.606105 4.920771 10.027106 21.954387 56.529596
2025-08-17 0.825711 1.416791 2.499675 4.777172 9.883475 22.055459 58.324385
2025-08-24 0.789418 1.366961 2.437392 4.720923 9.933725 22.645128 61.714942